This is the daily update for today, February 13, 2026.
One word that discribes the US economy: Recession
Based on the analysis of various economic indicators, there are signs that suggest a potential risk of a recession in the near future. The Leading Index for the United States shows a consistent increase, which is a positive signal. However, other key economic indicators such as the U-6 Unemployment Rate and various retail and financial stress indices exhibit concerning trends. Additionally, the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers reveals an increase in the price of goods, which can affect consumer spending and business investment.
Furthermore, the All Federal Reserve Banks: Total Assets and the M2 Money Stock are both showing declining trends, further indicating potential economic stress. While the current condition of the economy is not dire, cautious attention should be given to the data trends – specifically, trends in unemployment, retail sales, financial stress, and price indices. It will be important to keep monitoring these indicators closely to better comprehend the overall economic outlook and make informed decisions.
Text written with ChatGPT from OpenAI.